/oss/taxonomy/term/5009/all en /oss/article/critical-thinking/dunning-kruger-effect-probably-not-real <p>I want the Dunning-Kruger effect to be real. First described in<a href="https://doi.apa.org/doiLanding?doi=10.1037%2F0022-3514.77.6.1121"> a seminal 1999 paper</a> by David Dunning and Justin Kruger, this effect has been the darling of journalists who want to explain why dumb people don’t know they’re dumb. There’s even<a href="https://youtu.be/BdnH19KsVVc"> video of a fantastic pastiche</a> of Turandot’s famous aria, <i>Nessun dorma,</i> explaining the Dunning-Kruger effect. “They don’t know,” the opera singer belts out at the climax, “that they don’t know.”</p> Fri, 25 Dec 2020 17:00:00 +0000 Jonathan Jarry M.Sc. 8538 at /oss /oss/article/critical-thinking/tips-better-thinking-shooting-first-drawing-bullseye-later-0 <p>As we sift through more information than ever before, I would argue it’s becoming easier to commit an error in thinking known as the Texas sharpshooter fallacy. Imagine the stereotype of a Texan cowboy who randomly shoots up the side of a barn, goes up to it and traces a bullseye around the tightest cluster of bullet holes. It’s easy to declare yourself Texas’ sharpest shooter when you draw the bullseye after the fact.</p> Wed, 09 Dec 2020 16:31:41 +0000 Jonathan Jarry M.Sc. 8522 at /oss